Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 3.844185 4.116703 4.407588 4.742657 5.119832 5.533486 6.024504
2025-07-13 3.402025 3.778592 4.205139 4.729801 5.365945 6.123405 7.111187
2025-07-20 3.180678 3.620234 4.138768 4.807059 5.663395 6.750799 8.284160
2025-07-27 3.041256 3.530479 4.127094 4.926885 6.002389 7.450482 9.651576
2025-08-03 2.889879 3.406088 4.052120 4.945824 6.196290 7.966257 10.843666
2025-08-10 2.738864 3.267043 3.941836 4.899500 6.284520 8.330975 11.864665
2025-08-17 2.576393 3.100606 3.780702 4.764738 6.224665 8.456354 12.505443
2025-08-24 2.455109 2.979867 3.670838 4.689689 6.240087 8.693395 13.382497
2025-08-31 2.391762 2.931565 3.654680 4.744913 6.455139 9.278784 15.047341
2025-09-07 2.317506 2.863591 3.605643 4.745573 6.580975 9.726727 16.558511
2025-09-14 2.202277 2.733566 3.461342 4.591319 6.438250 9.674128 16.967557
2025-09-21 2.112912 2.635490 3.357595 4.491873 6.376805 9.761512 17.722927
2025-09-28 2.026373 2.541315 3.259815 4.403289 6.339680 9.917282 18.772360
2025-10-05 1.966777 2.483119 3.212283 4.391836 6.437603 10.359174 20.754346
2025-10-12 1.933602 2.460542 3.215339 4.460515 6.683959 11.147634 24.100908
2025-10-19 1.912343 2.453677 3.240831 4.566890 7.011280 12.180642 28.906977
2025-10-26 1.870586 2.414694 3.214703 4.583687 7.169007 12.864061 33.049435
2025-11-02 1.818123 2.357630 3.157506 4.542595 7.207407 13.268965 36.442873
2025-11-09 1.750995 2.276331 3.058828 4.422903 7.075150 13.220963 37.810607
2025-11-16 1.699654 2.217000 2.992378 4.356148 7.045773 13.437879 40.713870
2025-11-23 1.676643 2.199419 2.991210 4.405276 7.263701 14.368721 48.598524
2025-11-30 1.644613 2.166889 2.964408 4.405863 7.377365 15.039140 56.112801
2025-12-07 1.585785 2.091617 2.865568 4.268543 7.174801 14.737654 56.434784